Sunday 2/15

1p Virginia +8.5 -112 2x
745p Miami(FL) +8 -108 2x

Good luck tonight.

Saturday 2/14

Here is a prime example of a game that probably would have been an automatic play last weekend. Baylor is attracting 71.83% of the action at Wagerline as a 5.5 point favorite against aTm. With my current line of thinking, the game never interested me. Is that 5.5 point line really set as a "trap line?" Baylor is 15-9 (3-7) and aTm is 17-7 (3-6). Are the teams really that different? Is the public perception truly that one sided? I don't think so. That's why the game didn't even register as a pass.

Earlies (12p-159p)
12p Georgetown +4.5 -120 2x
1p Arizona +4.5 +100 2x
Passes: Hall, Arky

Middays (2p-359p)
3p Alabama +2 -103 2x
330p Georgia +10 +104 2x
330p Kansas State +1 -111 2x

Appetizers (4p-559p)
4p Pittsburgh -15.5 -104 2x
4p Iowa +5.5 +108 2x
5p Southern Miss +12.5 -102 2x
Pass: Auburn

Dessert (6p-759p)
Passes: YSU, Oregon St

Nightcaps (8p-12a)
Passes: Wisky, SDSU

I can't find anything worthwhile tonight. There is no shame in passing a crappy card. Good luck if you play anything.

Friday 2/13

I was really hoping that I would come up with something funny or interesting to write about between now and when I actually posted this play:

9p West Virginia -4.5 -103 3x
Pass: UIC

The only mildly amusing thing was that I read this morning's leans post and saw what poor vocabulary and sentence structure I have before 6a (well, at least worse than normal). Writing that crappy probably would make me a god at Covers.

Leans 2/13

Wahhhhhhhh! I had a bad day. I'm going to quit for a couple of days. Wahhhhhhh!

- me, yesterday morning.

That's not how I perceived myself yesterday, but certainly that opinion could be out there. Even moreso now that sigma-squared kicked in the other direction yesterday.

The only look for tonight is 9p WVU -4 vs. Nova. Nova is coming off destroying Cuse and Marquette in their last few games, while Bob Huggins' sphincter is still enlarged from the Backyard Brawl. Plus, it's a day that ends in "y," so of course I'll be backing the 'Eers.

Thursday 2/12

Frustration plus early morning hours equals posts like the one below. Instead of quitting for a while, last night's debacle inspired more thoughts on contrarianism. Which, of course means I'll be putting up another philosophical post tonight. For now, here are the plays and passes:

7p Notre Dame +3.5 +102 2x
9p Northwestern +2 -107 3x
9p Arizona State +1 +103 2x
11p St. Mary's +4.5 +105 2x
Passes: YSU, Idaho

Hopefully, this becomes a bit more clear later on tonight. Good luck.

Time to take a break

It's been a while since I had a week like this. I'm going to step back for a couple of days and re-group. Even though variance says it should happen every once in a while, it's kind of hard to shake off 4-11 -20.5x 5-10 -16.3x, especially given the year that I've had overall. I'll still post some passes this weekend, but I won't be playing anything. I'm sure this will be the start of the next great contrarian run.

Wednesday 2/11

This has been a horrible week so far. I'm sure betting on teams like NC State and St. John's will improve that.

Earlies (630p-759p)
7p NC State +5.5 -106 3x
7p Dayton +2.5 +102 2x
7p Toledo +4 +103 2x
730p St. John's +8.5 +101 2x
Passes: Purdue, W Carolina, Ind St, Fordham

Nightcaps (8p-12a)
8p SMU +7 -102 2x
9p Charlotte +3 +104 3x
9p Baylor +3.5 +103 3x
9p Duke +1.5 +112 3x
10p Air Force +12 +114 2x
Passes: Miss St, Rice

Apparently, I am the only one who saw a lot of contrarian sides tonight. I'm sure I'm just flawed somewhere in my thinking. Good luck tonight.

Leans 2/11

Running short on time on a big Wednesday card. Who could have guessed? I have a feeling there will be greater than three 3x plays tonight. I'll be going through these shorthand.

Stronger Leans
9p Charlotte +3.5
730p Johns +8.5
830p Wisky -11
7p Uconn -11
9p Baylor +3.5
7p Dayton +3.5
7p Ind St +2.5
9p Duke +1.5
8p Meth +8
7p NCSU +5.5
8p Rice +5
7p Toledo +4
10p AFA +12

Weaker Leans
7p Ga St +3
730p Colo +5.5
8p Tulsa
10p SDSU +5
8p SoIll +5.5
9p K-St -11.5
630p Purdue -11
7p Fordham +10

Ugh, that's a lot of games. It will be interesting to see how it all plays out tonight.

Tuesday 2/10

I usually leave my apartment at 6a for work. I got up at 5:50a this morning. It was a good start to the day. I'm sure it will only continue with these losers.

7p Michigan +4 -101 2x
7p Virginia +10 -102 3x
7p Central Michigan +7.5 +102 2x
8p Missouri State +6 +103 2x
9p Depaul +1 -102 2x - Solid line there
Passes: USF, Nova, Texas, Loy-Chi, Kentucky

I'm sure my passes will end up with a better record than the actual plays. Good luck.

Monday 2/9

Line movement scared me off the Bulldogs.

7p West Virginia +8.5 -106 2x
9p Missouri -4 -107 3x
Pass: Fresno State

Good luck tonight.