Monday 10/12

What's that? Another chance to lose my ass on a football game this week? Where do I sign up?

830p Miami +3 -105 3x
830p NYJ/MIA u36 +101 3x

I really don't like money.

Sunday 10/11

Next time I say on Monday, "wow, this college card isn't very good this week," someone stop me from playing 11 games like an idiot.

A special thank you to the Arizona Wildcats today. It takes a special kind of suck to blow a 33-21 lead with three minutes to go in the ball game.

All of these were floated last night, so that's why the prices might be different than what is currently available.

1p St. Louis +10 +105 5x
1p Tampa Bay +15.5 +101 3x
1p Oakland +15 +101 3x
1p Detroit +10.5 +101 3x
415p Denver +3 +103 5x
--------------------------
820p Tennessee +3 +115 8x
820p IND/TEN u44 -101 3x

I'll be on Tenny at least for a 5x play tonight when I get home from work. Good luck today.

Leans NFL Week 5/CFB Week 6 Revisited

I haven't struggled at all coming up with this week's card. It's about as clear as I can remember. Which means I'll be looking at -35x Tuesday morning.

Definite Plays
12p Illinois +4 vs. Sparty
12p Minny -3 vs. Purdue
12p Cuse +10 vs. WVU
1220p Tenny -1.5 vs. UGa
330p Ole Miss +4.5 vs. Bama
330p tOSU -16 vs. Wisky
330p UCLA +3.5 vs. Oregon
8p Florida -7 -106 3x vs. LSU
10p Ariz -3.5 @ Wash

1p TB +15.5 @ PHL
1p OAK +15 @ NYG
1p DET +10.5 vs. PIT
1p STL +10 vs. MIN
415p DEN +3 vs. NE
820p TEN +3.5 vs. IND
830p MIA +1 vs. NYJ (Mon.)

Borderline Contrarian Plays
12p Arky +2.5 vs. Auburn
12p VT -13.5 vs. BC
8p Iowa -8 vs. Mich
8p FSU -3 vs. GT

1p BAL -9 vs. CIN

Borderline Volume Plays
6p Colo St +8 vs. Utah
10p UNLV +17 vs. BYU

For the games tomorrow, the most likely sides to get added are UNLV, Iowa, and FSU, in that order. I'll make the final decision on those in the afternoon.

Leans NFL Week 5/CFB Week 6

I did not think I would ever see a week where I have more definite plays in the pros as college. I suppose that's what happens when "after three weeks, we invariably know whether the season will be... relatively easy to figure out."

Definite Plays
12p Cuse +10 vs. WVU
12p Ill +4.5 vs. Sparty
1220p Tenny -2 vs. Aub
10p Ariz -2.5 vs. Wash

1p STL +10 vs. MIN
1p TB +13.5 @ PHL
1p OAK +16 @ NYG
415p DEN +3 vs. NE
820p TEN +3.5 vs. IND
835p MIA +1 vs. NYJ (Mon.)

• You think the books are reacting to the public sentiment that the league is "easy" this year? I might lose 25x on Sunday.

Borderline Contrarian Plays
9p Neb -3 @ Mizz (Thu.)
9p LaTech +10.5 @ Nev (Fri.)
12p Arky +3 vs. Aub
330p tOSU -16.5 vs. Wisky
330p UCLA +4 vs. Ore
8p FSU -2.5 vs. GT
8p UF -7.5 vs. LSU
8p Iowa -8 vs. Mich

1p KC +9 vs. DAL
1p CLE +6 @ BUF
1p BAL -9 vs. CIN

• Lots of garbage chalk out there on the college card.
• I'm not going to need to see a lot to pull the trigger on the Huskers or Bulldogs.
• I'm slightly surprised at the early Wagerline numbers for Arky/Aub. I thought Auburn would be obviously public with the press they are getting.
• If the UF line was -10 like it was when it opened, I would have it as a definite. Obviously, that's pending Teblow.
• Masoli is doubtful for Oregon. Not sure how that will play out this week with the public.
• I feel like all three of those borderline NFL leans would be obvious plays any other week.

Borderline Volume Plays
6p CSU +7.5 vs. Utah
10p UNLV +16.5 vs. BYU
11p Fresno -9.5 @ Hawaii

• After seeing what's happened to Florida State, isn't it possible that BYU sucks (and by extension, so does Oklahoma)?
• I haven't seen Hawaii getting that many on the island in a long time to a team that's not Boise.

I'm hating Sunday already.