2009 CFB Preview: LSU


LSU is a prime example of how much a bad schedule can hurt you in win expectancy. They are essentially the same team as Ole Miss in Vegas' eyes, but have to play Florida and @ Georgia instead of Tennessee and South Carolina. Plus, they have to face their two best division rivals on the road instead of at home. The difference is astounding.

There might actually be value in under 8.5 wins at -130, since the median lines have them with 8 wins or less 48% of the time. There is no value in any of their MNC futures.