Illinois is a darkhorse pick to win the Big Ten this year, and with good reason. I really should have picked them over Michigan State as my Big Ten future. They'll be favored in every game this year, except Penn State and Ohio State and their chances of winning at home against Penn State are near 100%.
After running the numbers, I like Illinois a lot more. I have a feeling I'll be on them at least against tOSU and would be on the Illini against PSU, if I wagered on PSU games.
It's been a month (already?!) since I was out in Vegas, but if 200-1 was still available at Boyd's, I'd pick it up in a second. That has value at the median line, which has been rare so far in this series.
If you believe my lines and have money at 5Dimes the over has value. It is set at 7.5 -140. There is some time value of money concerns, but this is one of the best bets this series has uncovered so far.
2 comments:
I've actually been waiting for you to do one of these for the Illini.
I've been reading far too much Phil Steele.
The more I dove into all of my college football reading, the more I like Illinois. These numbers just confirm it. I wish I had done this sort of analysis before I went to Vegas. At least I guessed right on Georgia Tech.
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