Friday 5/8

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Thing I learned today: when not correcting for strength of schedule, a team's second order record is the proper predictor of record. Thanks, Vegas.

Plays
705p Tampa Bay -105 2x
705p NYY/BAL u9.5 +100 2x
710p Cincinnati -109 2x
810p TEX/CHW u11 +104 2x
1010p Oakland +108 3x

I probably shouldn't be making any 3x plays with my bankroll, but that Oakland line is a candidate for most contrarian of the year-so-far.

Leans
110p PIT (Maholm) +164 @ NYM (Maine)
340p SF (Sanchez) +144 @ LAD (Stults)
405p OAK (Gallagher) -107 vs. TOR (Tallet)

There might be some totals thrown in there, as well, but I'd rather look at consensus numbers tomorrow before settling.

Streak for the Cash
705p Orlando vs. Boston
1010p Kansas City @ Angels
Current Streak: 0

There are three outstanding looks in the early evening, but Orlando is clearly the best. I guess the Lakers will be the late choice, but an anti-public Meche isn't bad either if the NBA game runs late.

Good luck.

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