Review of Week 6

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I am quite obviously a poor estimator of the strongest games.

Virginia +6 vs. East Carolina - 2x

Is Virginia getting its act together or were East Carolina's first two wins complete flukes? I'll go with the latter.

Mississippi State +1 vs. Vanderbilt - 3x

This was quite obviously a let down game for Vandy. I really should have bet this one for more.

Texas A&M vs. Kansas State - 2x

Kansas State still has an awful defense. It's just that aTm is teh awfulest.

Minnesota +11.5 @ Illinois - 2x

Guess which BigTen team other than the Buckeyes is 6-1? I'm disappointed the Gophers are off this week, because this would be a perfect time to fade them.

Tennessee +12.5 @ Georgia - 2x

Miraculously saved by a hook. Georgia is barely a Top 10 team at this point.

North Carolina -7.5 vs. Notre Dame - 2x

I wonder if this had been different if Tate doesn't get hurt on the first return. Either way, at least I don't have to hear about how Notre Dame is unranked this week.

Southern Mississippi +10 vs. Boise State - 5x

Total Yards - Broncos 350 Golden Eagles 278
Turnovers - Broncos 2 Golden Eagles 2
Fourth Down Conversions - Broncos 0-0 Golden Eagles 0-4
Amount am19psu wagered upon - Broncos 0x Golden Eagles 5x

Florida -6.5 vs. LSU - 2x

LSU was not the 3rd best team in the country before this game.

Western Kentucky +16.5 vs. Ball State - 2x

I'm sorry, Ball State, I just get scared sometimes. You know I love you, baby. Don't be mad.

New Mexico +23.5 vs. BYU - 2x

No idea what happened here. At least I covered.

Oakland +7 @ New Orleans - 5x

Seriously, I am 1 out of 5 on 5x bets for the season. Even if I suck and only hit 50% of 5x bets (which is not what my track record shows in previous years), there's still only an 18.75% chance of me sucking this bad. Fuck you small sample size, variance, and binomial distribution. I hope the three of you get anal herpes.

Atlanta +2.5 vs. Chicago - 2x

Watching the out of town scoreboard at the Meadowlands was liking waiting for my cancer biopsy results.

Houston -3 vs. Miami - 2x

Malignant.

Seattle -1 vs. Green Bay - 2x

Stage 5.

San Francisco +4.5 vs. Philadelphia - 3x

Metastasized. This game would ordinarily be in contention for bad beat of the year, but Christ, we've endured so many already.

San Diego -5.5 vs. New England - 2x

Nightcap that won after I went to bed. Didn't help my mood any.

The week will proceed mostly normally from here. TCU is looking pretty likely on Thursday.

1 comments:

Anonymous said...

"Fuck you small sample size, variance, and binomial distribution. I hope the three of you get anal herpes."

Come on now, leave variance and the binomial distribution out of this. It's not their fault. I do however share your vehement feelings of condemnation for small sample sizes...worthless bastards.