Review of Week 5

Let's get this out of the way:

Minnesota +3 +103 3x (MB)

Wow, a ridiculous game that I came out on the right side. Who knew?
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This season has been a complete abortion. The Houston/Indianapolis game yesterday was just a microcosm of what the whole football season has been like. I am getting awful close to taking a week or two off, but I know the second I do, it will turn around and I'll miss out on it. At least I didn't have my money in the stock market, which looks to be the only thing doing worse than me.

I am copying these stats from BigBookie on theRX forum. If you've been following along and understanding what I've been writing, it should tell you how absolutely square this season has been.

Road Favorites are 14-6 ATS
Faves of 1-3 points are 19-7 ATS
DD Dogs are 5-1 ATS
Every MNF game has gone Over

Let's take a look at how things could have turned out better:

Iowa State +11 vs. Kansas - 3x

Things started out well for the Cyclones, but like anything else, they made me sweat it out. I had visions of a Kansas pick 6 going through my head with about 4 minutes to go.

Stanford +6.5 @ Notre Dame - 2x

This game wasn't as close as the final looked. ND dominated the game. Stanfurd did just enough to make me waste 15 minutes watching the game closely.

Kent State +3.5 vs. Akron - 2x

I can't stand watching overtime games. Thankfully, neither team is that good on offense and Kent State's kicker can make field goals. [It should be noted that Purdue's worthless kicker cost most contrarians a solid win thanks to going 0-2 on chip shot figgies and 0-1 on PATs]

Iowa +6.5 @ Michigan State - 3x

Backdoor covering at its finest. Ferentz is a terrible coach and should be fired. Things were going pretty well for me so far. Then the afternoon games happened.

Kansas State +7 vs. Texas Tech - 4x, Kansas State ML +225 - 1x

Kansas State has a terrible, terrible defense. I still maintain Texas Tech is a fraud, and I think Vegas agrees with me. They'll have at least three losses before bowl season. The Raiders are clearly not a Top 7 team, regardless of this outcome.

Michigan -2.5 vs. Illinois - 2x

Zooked! I've said it before, I'll say it again, I hope this whole state gets SARS.

Virginia +13 vs. Maryland - 2x

If I told you the score of this game would be 31-0, did you think you would see green above? Me neither.

Nebraska +10 vs. Missouri - 4x

Missouri is really good. Like, might win the MNC good.

Northern Illinois +16.5 @ Tennessee - 2x

I'm not sure who Tennessee's replacement for David Cutcliffe is, but he might want to get the resume handy.

Houston +3 vs. Indianapolis - 5x

Slide, Sage, slide. I don't even want to talk about this game.

Miami +6 vs. San Diego - 4x

How long before every team in the NFL is running the WildHog? Miami is going to be overvalued now after knocking off last year's AFC Championship combatants. In fact, you might as well put me down for Houston -3 5x next week.

Detroit +3 vs. Chicago - 3x

See above about this state.

Tampa Bay +3.5 vs. Buffalo - 2x

Another backdoor cover. Not everything ends poorly. Just 75% of them.

San Francisco +3 vs. New England - 4x

It was the right play. I'm not remotely close to bitter about this.

And so there was the gambling week. Pretty awful stuff. The thing that pisses me off the most is that the 4x and 5x plays are just going horribly. I'm questioning if flat betting may be better, but I know the sides I am hammering are the correct plays. They just haven't worked out yet.

I think it's pretty safe to say that if next week goes as poorly as this one did, I'll be sitting out for a few weeks.