Review of Week 11

I would be remiss if I didn't mention the shenanigans in the Chargers-Steelers game last night. Clearly, the NFL makes way too much as a league to fix a game and it is exceedingly unlikely that somebody could get to the officials (though obviously, it happens). What is clear is that although the NFL publicly has an anti-gambling stance, they are acutely aware of what the point spreads are for individual games. I mean, unless they were really concerned about the 7th postseason tiebreaker.

Miami(FL) -4.5 @ Virginia Tech (2)

I really need to stop betting ACC games. How can there possibly be a contrarian edge when the whole conference has the same record?

Wyoming +6.5 @ UNLV (2)

All I knew about this game was that Wyoming sucked (which, by extension, tells you how bad Tennessee is) and that line was way too short.

Navy +4 vs. Notre Dame (3)

I don't actually care that I lost this game. Navy had no reasonable chance to cover and still managed a solid tease by getting two onside kicks in the last two minutes. Highly entertaining to watch. I'm sure my neighbors think I am a Navy fan.

Utah State +14 @ Louisiana Tech (2)

Utah State fired their coach today. That kind of sucks, since I've been riding the Aggie train for a few weeks now.

UL Monroe +22.5 @ Mississippi (4)

Strike one in my fade the SEC idea. However, I would like to note that I consider Ole Miss to be the 4th best team in the league this year. I'm hoping I get to be on them against a terrible LSU squad this coming week.

Kansas +14 vs. Texas (3)

I was feeling pretty crappy around 3pm on Saturday.

Auburn +9.5 vs. Georgia (3)

However, things started to turn around when Kodi Burns did not throw a pick 6.

UAB +3.5 @ Tulane (2)

And somehow I broke even minus juice in the earlies. So, yay, I guess.

New Mexico State +17 @ Fresno State (2)

[Ctrl+C]Fresno State is not a good football team.[Ctrl+V]

Air Force +3 vs. BYU (3)

Games like this always give me heartburn. Halftime score: AFA 14 BYU 10. Fucking Zoomies.

Troy +16.5 @ LSU (5)

I'm sure everyone who was near a TV Saturday night saw how this ended. I wasn't terribly surprised that Troy jumped out to a lead (though the magnitude was an eye opener), nor was I surprised that LSU came back.

Colorado +17.5 vs. Oklahoma State (3)

Pokes might be slightly overrated. The best thing on their resume is a close loss to Texas.

Washington +6.5 vs. UCLA (4)

I really, really, really to bet on the Apple Cup this week.

Seattle +3 vs. Arizona (4)

I am 1-9 in the NFL in November. I obviously know what I am doing.

Sunday 11/16

I am leaning toward only playing Seattle today. There is a chance I could be on KC or SD as well, but this card is terrible.

Seattle +3 -110 (4)

Good luck whatever you do.

Leans - Week 11, Part 2

Not a ton of change from Tuesday. I hope I haven't biased myself with my SEC argument yesterday, because ULM and Troy figure to get a good deal of action from me.

Strong Leans

L'ville +3 (Fri.)
UL-Monroe +21
Troy +17
Kansas +13
Auburn +9.5
Washington +7
Colo +17.5

KC +5
SEA +3

Moderate Leans

Utah St +14
Zona +6
NM State +17
Ill +9.5
Cuse +10
NCSU +3.5
Navy +4

SD +5
CIN +9.5
BAL +6.5

Leans - Week 11

Obviously, I passed the Redhawks.

Strong Leans

L'ville +3 vs. Cincy (Fri.)
Zona +3.5 @ Ore
UL-Monroe +20.5 @ Ole Miss
Troy + 19 @ LSU - I had this one pegged before I saw the line
KU +13.5 vs. Texas
Auburn +8 vs. UGa
Wash +7.5 vs. UCLA
AFA +5.5 vs. BYU

KC +5.5 vs. NO
SD +4.5 @ PIT
SEA +3 vs. ARZ

Moderate Leans

Wyo +7 @ UNLV (Thu.)
Utah State +12.5 @ LaTech
NM State +16 @ Fresno - Rest of the season fade?
Ill +9.5 vs. tOSU
Cuse +9.5 vs. UConn
Navy +3.5 vs. ND

BAL +6.5 @ NYG
CIN +9.5 @ PHL

Weak Leans

UAB +5 @ Tulane
Rutgers +7.5 @ USF
SDSU +28.5 vs. Utah
NCSU +4 vs. Wake
UMd +2.5 vs. UNC

STL +6 @ SF