2009 CFB Preview: Oregon

Some people are forecasting Oregon to have a shot at second place in the Pac10 this year, which makes some sense the way they played down the stretch last year and a returning Jeremiah Masoli. The coaching change from Mike Belotti hasn't received a lot of mainstream press, but most seem to think that it won't be that big of a deal.

Like Rutgers in the Big East, the hardest games, USC, Cal, and Oregon State, all come in Eugene, which certainly helps. On the other hand, those three teams are a lot better than Pitt, WVU, and USF.

Having to go to Boise the first Thursday and a tough Pac10 leaves the Ducks with little room for error. Even in the best case scenario, they only get through the Pac10 unscathed 2.9% of the time and less than 1% of the time they go fully undefeated, mostly due to the trip to the Smurf Turf. With an integer win total, it's not really worth talking about whether there is value in their number.

Tomorrow, for Jonny, it's California.


Jonny said...


I don't even want to know. Minus Mitch Lowe, that's the most emotion-led wager I've made in quite some time.