Where the Value Lies - Week 11

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Note: I'm running this tonight instead of tomorrow afternoon because of the Injuns' game. I'll put up the record update tomorrow afternoon.

It's one week closer to college football season and the Nationals continue to dramatically underperform their third order record, becoming the first team this season to reach double digits. Shocking.

As always, these come from the third order record deviations after Saturday June 13.

Underrated
1. Nationals -10.2
2. Rays -6.1
3. Indians -4.2
4. Diamondbacks -3.2
5. Mets -2.9

Overrated
1. Giants +5.9
2. Brewers +3.8
3. Rangers +3.8
4. Phillies +3.6
5. Dodgers +3.3

I'm almost definitely overthinking this, but I'm surprised that we haven't been on the Rays more often. I know they just got done with the Nats, but I wonder if we'll see some more of them as they head out to play the red hot Rockies.

Unfortunately, it doesn't look there will be much fading of the Giants this week. They play the Angels and Rangers in their interleague matchups. Other potential early week looks include Tribe/Brewers, A's/Dodgers, and Jays/Phils.

2 comments:

flefster said...

Nationals vs Yankees looks pretty tempting too. What do you think?

am19psu said...

Indeed. Not sure how I missed that. The Yankees were +0.9 headed into yesterday. I wonder if one game against the Mets will increase that number by much.