Showing posts with label ncaaf week 15. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ncaaf week 15. Show all posts

Review of Week 14

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Wow, I actually had a positive week. I forget how to locate the green button.

Buffalo +15 vs. Ball State
Thanks to this game and Tulsa losing the C-USA championship game, the GMAC Bowl should be a treat.

UConn -2.5 vs. Pitt

If Tyler Lorenzen ever takes another snap, it will be too soon. I'm pretty sure my old ass would be more accurate than that guy.

Army +10.5 vs. Navy
Although I would make the play again tomorrow, this one never had a shot.

Florida -10 vs. Alabama
When I am driving around on a Saturday night, I would much rather listen to Eagles' pregame than the SEC Championship Game. Thanks ESPN Radio-Philadelphia!

Hawaii +7.5 vs. Cincinnati

Good teams always play like hell on the island the last game of the year [/square]

Arkansas State +12 @ Troy

Troy apparently went up and down the field on the Red Wolves. I have no idea if this is true.

Jacksonville +6.5 @ Chicago

How's that $72 million extension working out for you, Dave? Asshole.

Houston +6 @ Green Bay
Matt Schaub >> Sage Rosenfels. Much.

Seattle +7 vs. New England
This is one of the few times I can remember square money inflating a line. Thanks, guys!

San Francisco +4.5 vs. NY Jets

Now that is the Brett Favre everyone knows and loves.

Saturday 12/6

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Earlies

UConn -2.5 -112 2x
Army +10.5 -107 2x

I'm a little pissed off at myself. I had -2.5 -112 and -3 +105 available for UConn. I looked at the half point calculator to see which was the better price and it told me the -2.5 line. However, I forgot to switch it from NFL to NCAAF. Turns out that the -3 +105 was a much better line (because statistically, an NFL game is more likely to land on 3 when the spread is three than a college game). At the end of the day, it's only 4 cents off fair value, but it still pisses me off.

Middays

Florida -10 +102 3x

I am so glad the regular season is over after today. What an abortion of a season.

Nightcaps

Arkansas State +12 -106 2x
Hawaii +7.5 -106 2x


Good luck. At this rate, I obviously need it.

Friday 12/5

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I'm sure Testicle will be up 21-0 at half.

Buffalo +15 -101 2x

Came real close to making this a triple. Good luck tonight.

Leans - Week 14, Part 2

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While we're on the fantasy football tangent, are the books indirectly telling you to pick up the 49ers defense this week?

Strong Leans

Florida -10
UConn -2.5
Hawaii +7
Army +10.5

JAX +6.5
SEA +4.5
SF +3.5

Moderate Leans

Buff +15 (Fri.)
Ark St +11
USF +7

CIN +13.5
HOU +6
CLE +13.5
DET +9.5

Leans - Week 14

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I have no idea what the books are thinking with the SF and SEA lines. I guess I should just chalk up losses right now.

Strong Leans


Florida -9.5 vs. Bama
UConn -2.5 vs. Pitt
Hawaii +7.5 vs. Cincy

OAK +10 @ SD (Thu.)
JAX +6.5 @ CHI
SEA +4.5 vs. NE
SF +4 vs. NYJ

Moderate Leans


USF +7 @ WVU
Mizzou +16.5 @ OU
Army +11 vs. Navy

CIN +13.5 @ IND
HOU +6 @ GB
STL +13.5 @ ARZ
CLE +13.5 @ TEN
DET +9.5 @ MIN

Weak Leans

Buff +15 @ Ball St (Fri.)
Ark St +11 @ Troy
W Ky +7 @ FIU

WAS +5 @ BAL