Record Update - 28 June 2009

Here is the definition of mediocrity (and probably a random walk, as well):



Not surprisingly, I exhibit no skill at baseball betting. This week's culprits were the Diamondbacks and Astros, who continue to suck. I suppose that means I should keep betting on them. They were almost counterbalanced by the Fathers, who were 3-0 for the week.

Sunday 6/28

I've got another busy Sunday, so I need to get all of these in now.

Plays
135p Atlanta -102 2x
205p Houston +126 2x
410p Arizona -138 2x
805p San Diego +133 2x

I don't think I even want to know what happened in the 9th in Houston.

Streak for the Cash
2p United States +1.5 vs. Brazil
6p Detroit vs. Sacramento
Current Streak: 7

I was somewhat surprised to see this as the best option on the board before 5p. I am very uncomfortable with the play because 1) it's soccer and 2) it's a homer pick. Whatever.

Saturday 6/27

I definitely should have put these in this morning when I first looked at the lines slept through gambling today.

Plays
410p Atlanta -140 2x
410p Arizona +118 2x
805p San Diego +150 2x
1010p Seattle -119 2x

I probably could have made an argument for any of those to be triples, except San Diego.

Streak for the Cash
8p Chicago vs. Washington
Current Streak: 5

I can't wait to lose my streak on a flipping WNBA game.

Leans 6/27

Leans
410p ATL (Vasquez) -141 vs. BOS (Wakefield)
410p ARZ (Davis) +116 vs. LAA (Lackey)
805p SD (Correia) +150 @ TEX (Holland)
1010p SEA (Hernandez) -127 @ LAD (Milton)

Nothing really exciting in Streak, either.

Friday 6/26

I've run out of things to talk about. Go Nats.

Plays
705p Atlanta +112 2x
940p Arizona +139 2x
1010p Seattle +159 2x

Streak for the Cash
805p Milwaukee vs. San Francisco
Current Streak: 4

Leans 6/26

Leans
735p ATL (Jurrjens) +113 vs. BOS (Beckett)
735p FLA (Johnson) +132 @ TB (Shields)
815p MIN (Perkins) +143 @ STL (Wainwright)
940p ARZ (Buckner) +138 vs. LAA (Weaver)
1010p SEA (Vargas) +161 @ LAD (Kershaw)

I find it interesting that the Braves are getting a longer line at home with Jurrjens on the mound than the Nats at home had yesterday with Zimmermann pitching.

Streak for the Cash
Passing
Current Streak: 3

There's just not a whole lot to like with the early options.

Thursday 6/25 - PM

I've suddenly become flipping terrible at Streak. At least I have a shot at running my losing streak up to like 4 or 5 tonight.

Plays
705p Washington +113 2x
710p Atlanta -110 2x

Of course I'll bet on the worst team in baseball playing the best team only getting +11X.

Streak for the Cash
Thabeet 2nd
Pac 10 o1.5 players selected 6-10
Current Streak: 3

I have to wait for Glover to finish screwing the pooch, but there are a lot of NBA Draft options tonight, so I don't think I am going to post anything yet.

Thursday 6/25 - AM

Solid effort by the Reds last night.

Plays
205p White Sox +140 2x
440p SD/SEA o9 +108 2x

Leans
705p WAS (Zimmermann) +112 vs. BOS (Smoltz)
710p ATL (Lowe) -101 vs. NYY (Pettitte)
940p ARZ (Garland) +100 vs. TEX (Feldman)

Streak for the Cash
930a A. Roddick/T. Kunitsyn u3.5 sets
103p L. Glover over V. Singh
Current Streak: 2

I was set to take Mahan, but then I checked the sets betting at Pinny and Roddick is -248 to win 3-0. Easy enough.

I think Vijay is the right play this afternoon (according to Bodog), but I'll await Saw approval on that play. Nothing else is remotely appealing.

Wednesday 6/24

I'm sure I'm leaving something on the table here, but I'm not in much of a thinking mood right now.

Plays
705p Cincinnati +138 2x

Streak for the Cash
7p LSU vs. Texas
Current Streak: 1

The CWS probably won't be over in time, but Seattle if I get a chance. There is zero chance of playing Saunders.

Leans 6/24

Ok, everything ought to be back to normal, at least for a couple weeks.

Leans
705p CIN (Arroyo) +131 @ TOR (Richmond)
705p TB (Garza) -169 vs. PHL (Blanton)
705p DET (Porcello) -120 vs. CHC (Harden)
710p ATL (Kawakami) +127 vs. NYY (Chamberlain)
805p MIN (Blackburn) -118 @ MIL (Looper)
805p KC (Hochevar) +156 @ HOU (Oswalt)

Streak for the Cash
10a S. Williams/J. Groth o18.5 games
2p Spain -1.5 vs. United States
Current Streak: 0

The over is the slight favorite here, but it would clearly be a pass if my streak wasn't zero. I have no clue on the aces prop and Spain -1.5 has nearly no edge later this afternoon.

And my winning percentage continues to tumble...

Tuesday 6/23

I've got more running around to do today. I love spending my "vacation" doing everything but relaxing.

Plays
705p Washington +119 2x
710p Atlanta -106 2x
810p White Sox -106 2x
1010p San Diego +129 2x

I'm not enamored with today's card. I don't have enough time to worry about Streak for the Cash, either.

Where The Value Lies - Week 12

The usual suspects remain this week. Tampa is making a run at the Nats for most underrated team and the Giants continue to play better than peripherals would suggest.

Overrated
1. Giants +5.9
2. Dodgers +4.1
2. Brewers +4.1
4. Tigers +3.5
5. Reds +3.2

Underrated
1. Nationals -9.7
2. Rays -7.6
3. Indians -6.4
4. Diamondbacks -3.4
5. Twins -3.2

I have no idea how informed the average square is in baseball, but I wonder if we aren't playing the Rays because a lot of mainstream sources keep talking about their AL-leading run differential. Hopefully, we will get to play them against the Phils this week.

The Nats/BoSox lines ought to be interesting Tues-Thurs. Mets/Cards, Twins/Brewers, and DBacks/Rangers will deserve consideration early in the week as well. Over the weekend, Twins/Cards, Tribe/Reds, and maybe A's/Rox could be looks.