Where The Value Lies - Week 12

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The usual suspects remain this week. Tampa is making a run at the Nats for most underrated team and the Giants continue to play better than peripherals would suggest.

Overrated
1. Giants +5.9
2. Dodgers +4.1
2. Brewers +4.1
4. Tigers +3.5
5. Reds +3.2

Underrated
1. Nationals -9.7
2. Rays -7.6
3. Indians -6.4
4. Diamondbacks -3.4
5. Twins -3.2

I have no idea how informed the average square is in baseball, but I wonder if we aren't playing the Rays because a lot of mainstream sources keep talking about their AL-leading run differential. Hopefully, we will get to play them against the Phils this week.

The Nats/BoSox lines ought to be interesting Tues-Thurs. Mets/Cards, Twins/Brewers, and DBacks/Rangers will deserve consideration early in the week as well. Over the weekend, Twins/Cards, Tribe/Reds, and maybe A's/Rox could be looks.

3 comments:

Lou said...

I played the Rays Sat and Sun vs the Mets.. Sat had a way too short line with Shields @ Santana (+110 or so) and somehow I got on Niemann/Pelfrey for a small play yesterday...

Vs. Colorado, Thursday it was our boy Ubaldo +105 or whatever vs Garza, which was a play, Wed Cook was a fave at home to public Price, so that was also a play.. then a play on of the rose which was a loss on tuesday

sorry for the reverse chronological order, just going via MB

Anonymous said...

Nats = underrated

LOL!!!!!!!

If BP's numbers could be used to make money in baseball betting, don't you think they'd be doing it?

LOL!!!!!!

am19psu said...

Do you understand the concept of random error?