Thursday 6/25 - AM

,
Solid effort by the Reds last night.

Plays
205p White Sox +140 2x
440p SD/SEA o9 +108 2x

Leans
705p WAS (Zimmermann) +112 vs. BOS (Smoltz)
710p ATL (Lowe) -101 vs. NYY (Pettitte)
940p ARZ (Garland) +100 vs. TEX (Feldman)

Streak for the Cash
930a A. Roddick/T. Kunitsyn u3.5 sets
103p L. Glover over V. Singh
Current Streak: 2

I was set to take Mahan, but then I checked the sets betting at Pinny and Roddick is -248 to win 3-0. Easy enough.

I think Vijay is the right play this afternoon (according to Bodog), but I'll await Saw approval on that play. Nothing else is remotely appealing.

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

I was wondering if you've read this article over at SI:

http://sportsinsights.com/sportsbettingresearch/betagainst/mlb_betting_statistics_2009.aspx

And what your thoughts are on that seemingly HUGE home/away "split" in terms of profit. Have you ever run a split like this on your own plays, and do you think there's anything to playing home anti-pub teams ONLY?

Good luck.

Anonymous said...

I think Glover is way to go. They are pretty equal, but you are getting the tie with Glover.

Kunk said...

That Lemmy keeps getting more prestigious:

http://awfulannouncing.blogspot.com/2009/06/shaq-learns-hes-traded-via-twitter.html

am19psu said...

And what your thoughts are on that seemingly HUGE home/away "split" in terms of profit. Have you ever run a split like this on your own plays, and do you think there's anything to playing home anti-pub teams ONLY?

I briefly looked at it here and here. I do believe there is something to contrarian home teams being more profitable than road teams. I don't have the time to do a more robust analysis than what I have there, at least not until cajuncook gets me some data (Ahem.).