Wednesday 3/4

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I'm going to hopefully get to the time series stuff tonight. TheFiancee is off enlightening the minds of America's Youth, so I should have time.

730p Georgia Tech +4.5 -120 2x (not a typo)
730p Pittsburgh -10 +104 3x
8p Houston +7 -108 2x
8p Mississippi State +1 -105 2x
9p Missouri -4.5 -106 3x
9p Colorado +7 -111 3x

If these all lose tonight, I will be in my biggest hole of the season. Which wouldn't surprise me too terribly much. Good luck tonight.

5 comments:

Vegas Watch said...

Just curious, why so high on Pitt?

am19psu said...

More anti-Marquette than pro-Pitt.

Vegas Watch said...

Okay, will I get a real answer if I rephrase the question? Why is Pittsburgh a large play in their game against Marquette tonight?

am19psu said...

Because the line looked like one set to receive public action when I put my leans together this morning.

The Pomeroy numbers with James have Pitt winning by 10.

Pitt is getting 31% of the action at SIA and 41% at Wagerline as chalk, which are both below my threshold for anti-pub chalk.

Marq is 12-4 in conference, Pitt is 13-3, nevermind that Pitt has had a tougher in conference schedule. This also played into my analysis

Most 13/15 vs. 4 games don't feature double digit spreads.

Anything else I'm missing?

Vegas Watch said...

I guess. I just thought the move from 11 to 10 and the fact that MARQ is playing without their well-known senior point guard who they are 0-2 without made it less attractive. And it doesn't seem to me that Pitt is particularly underrated. Fair enough though.