Leans 3/6

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I actually don't have single lean for tonight, even with some smaller conference tourneys in play.

It took me five months to finally sign up for Streak for Cash. It's mildly interesting, so lacking anything else, I'll throw some leans up for it. I'm not sure if this will be a regular feature or not. These are in order:

10p Anaheim Ducks vs. Dallas Stars (ANA is a -160 fave at Pinny)
7p Toronto Raptors vs. Miami Heat (TOR is +1 but is a full 9 GB of MIA)
718a MAJ (ESP) lower Front 9 at Honda vs. Rose (GBR) (ML's plays this week were centered on MAJ)

Last night, I won with Penn State, so my streak now stands at 1. I'm actually going to do this, because it will give me something to look at today at work.

718a MAJ (ESP) lower Front 9 at Honda vs. Rose (GBR)

Streak for Cash is obviously just for fun, unless you truly think you are going to get 27 in a row. My betting style won't be straight contrarianism. Because ESPN isn't a book, chances are you are going to find value in some plays that you wouldn't find at a book. It'll be more like value betting. We'll see how well I do.

2 comments:

jwsherjr said...

I disagree with the notion that ESPN isn't a book. Almost all of the games they pick are pick'em or low spreads and most of them are "trap" games.

am19psu said...

Almost all of the games they pick are pick'em or low spreads and most of them are "trap" games.

I obviously worded that poorly this morning at 5am. Clearly, they are choosing games that are more difficult to handicap a straight up winner. However, they also pick games like tonight's ANA/DAL game where the ML splits are large. Those are where I think there is the most value, alongside normal contrarian strategy.

In other words, there will be more "value" in the ESPN games than a typical book.

Does that make more sense or am I still retarded?