Friday 3/6

As suspected, I'm passing the entire garbage college hoops card.

Streak for Cash
10p Anaheim Ducks vs. Dallas Stars

Anaheim is sitting at -153 at Pinny right now. The Quack is mildly public at Wagerline (60.41%), but even if the books were shading from a true line of something like -140, that is still representing value on the Ducks.

Since we're not betting actual amounts against the moneyline, I don't think the law of large numbers and the central limit theorem apply as normal here.

Or, to put it another way, would you take this bet if you were getting +100 on the Ducks?

Of course, I could be approaching this wrong. I might have my math hat on a little too tightly. Let me know.