I've been wanting to add totals to my gambling repertoire for some time now. Two things have been keeping me from doing it: 1. early on, I was unwilling to dabble in a new (to me) gambling theory, and 2. by the time I wanted to, I was already deep in the hole. I'm obviously even deeper in the hole now, but I still feel like I am leaving profits on the table by not including them in my wagering strategy.
During the early parts of college basketball season, I will evaluate totals just as I would sides and keep record of them. I won't be posting them, but I will put the results up once I feel I've come to a reasonable conclusion as to whether they are worthwhile to me. This is important, because I plan on playing baseball this summer, and totals were extremely profitable to other contrarians last year during baseball season.
Stay tuned.
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4 comments:
How are you going to determine whether totals are worthwhile?
By keeping track of the plays I would make in a separate spreadsheet and calculating plus/minus units the same way I would for sides.
I figure it's quite obvious by my current record that I'm not trying to impress anybody by this blog and that my statistics won't be called into judgment. I don't think it's worth cluttering up everything else for plays that I'm not actually making.
I'm open to other ways of doing it, but this seems the most straightforward.
I just don't understand how one season's worth of results is going to make the determination one way or another.
Oh, certainly there is the obvious caveat of where the sample is being drawn from. I suspect, even if I never actually play a single total, I'll acquire a sample of >100 contrariany totals that I could play.
How that applies to baseball, I'm not sure, but the main idea here is to introduce myself to totals and see if my contrarian style applies to them.
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