Another Moment of Reflection

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Looks like the last time we looked at this, I was still dealing in the realm of small sample size. This isn't really unexpected, since I couldn't believe I would be making poorer decisions with more information. Relevant stats below:

NCAAF Weeks 6-9 Actual: 22-25-1 -9.44x
NCAAF Weeks 6-9 S+M Leans: 32-32-1 -5.40x
NCAAF S+M Leans Total: 51-51-2 +5.12x
NCAAF Weeks 6-9 Strong Leans: 11-12 -6.40x
NCAAF Strong Leans Total: 30-21 +24.2x

NFL Weeks 5-8 Actual: 13-8 +2.89x
NFL Weeks 5-8 S+M Leans: 12-10-3 -1.5x
NFL S+M Leans Total: 24-22-3 +7.0x
NFL Weeks 5-8 Strong Leans: 5-7-1 -9.2x
NFL Strong Leans Total: 13-11-1 +6.0x

So, overall, I would still be doing much better for the season if I had stuck with my leans, but I think the results from the last few weeks show that it is not a demonstrably better strategy. Of course, I am going to keep looking at this for the rest of the season to attempt to get better. Expect the next update at the close of the college football regular season.

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