Tuesday evening is when I take my first look at consensus numbers and the boards. I'm breaking the possibilities into strong, medium, and weak leans. Strong leans are almost all going to end up on my card over the weekend (particularly the Thurs/Fri games)., medium games might stand about a 70% chance of getting played, and an occasional weak lean will make the leap. For what it is worth, here were my leans a month ago. Not too bad.
Strong Leans
Stanford +3 vs. Oregon State (Thurs.)
SMU +3.5 @ Rice (Fri.)
Bowling Green +13 @ Pittsburgh
Alabama +4.5 @ Clemson
Washington State +7 vs. Oklahoma State
Virginia +19.5 vs. Southern California
Moderate Leans
Baylor +12 vs. Wake Forest (Thurs.)
Middle Tennessee State +6.5 vs. Troy (Thurs.)
Florida Atlantic +24 @ Texas
Western Michigan +14 @ Nebraska
North Texas +25 @ Kansas State
East Carolina +9.5 vs. Virginia Tech
Michigan -3.5 vs. Utah (don't let the consensus numbers fool you)
UCLA +7.5 vs. Tennessee (Mon.)
Weak Leans
Northern Illinois +8 @ Minnesota
Florida International +36 @ Kansas
Alabama-Birmingham +13.5 vs. Tulsa
New Mexico +6.5 vs. Texas Christian
Kentucky +3.5 @ Louisville (Sun.)
Fresno State +5.5 @ Rutgers (Mon.)
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