I quit baseball for the year, but even I know that the Angels are at best the fourth best team in the AL and strong arguments could be that they are lower than that. Good luck to those of you still in the game fading them down the stretch.
Showing posts with label whimsy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label whimsy. Show all posts
ESPN Hates Numbers
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Labels:
errata,
where the value lies,
whimsy
I realize I'm a little late with this, but this was the front page of ESPN when I got into work yesterday.
I quit baseball for the year, but even I know that the Angels are at best the fourth best team in the AL and strong arguments could be that they are lower than that. Good luck to those of you still in the game fading them down the stretch.
I quit baseball for the year, but even I know that the Angels are at best the fourth best team in the AL and strong arguments could be that they are lower than that. Good luck to those of you still in the game fading them down the stretch.
Note to TheFiancee
The Angels were not -152 favorites yesterday. I didn't need a streak of W5 anyway.
TheFiancee is a Degenerate
At least I'm engaged to the right person. TheFiancee went to Atlantic City today, counted cards in blackjack, and came home +$370. She's doing way better than I am sports gambling.
Completely Unrelated
If you get the joke in the name of this blog, click here and scroll down about 1/4 of the way down the page. Note: only for people aged 25 and older.
Tuesday 2/3
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Labels:
ncaab week 7,
plays,
whimsy
Seth Davis is an idiot. There, I had to get that off my chest. I swear he is attempting to write like the Peter King of college basketball, which isn't a good thing. And yes, Seth, you are the only one still on the bandwagon of the team ranked 48th by KP and 72nd in the RPI.
Earlier today, Jonny sent me a link to RPI Forecast. Not only do they have the current RPI standings, but they predict how the RPI will look at the end of the season using Sagarin's ratings for prediction. I've seen people try to use Sagarin's ratings as a gambling tool before in football, but never hoops. For the relevant games I'm looking at tonight, I'll compare the Sagarin results to the KenPom predictions.
I have no idea what this means currently, but I figure it will be something to look at the rest of the year.
Tonight's card has me perplexed, again. In order of contrarianess, the biggest leans would be SDSU, AFA, Depaul, tOSU. However, the SDSU line movement has been screwy all day. In addition, as shown above, the KP numbers are way off in the AFA and Depaul games. If this was football, and I didn't have KP numbers to lean on, my card would be a pretty simple AFA, Depaul, tOSU, but that obviously didn't work all that well this year, either. I think it's pretty obvious that I have myself completely mind-twisted and should stop thinking so much about this stuff.
7p Ohio State +1.5 +108 2x
8p Air Force +11.5 +104 2x
9p Depaul +11.5 +101 2x
1030p San Diego State +5 +108 2x
But, hey, at least I got positive juice on all of these losers.
Good luck tonight.
Earlier today, Jonny sent me a link to RPI Forecast. Not only do they have the current RPI standings, but they predict how the RPI will look at the end of the season using Sagarin's ratings for prediction. I've seen people try to use Sagarin's ratings as a gambling tool before in football, but never hoops. For the relevant games I'm looking at tonight, I'll compare the Sagarin results to the KenPom predictions.
I have no idea what this means currently, but I figure it will be something to look at the rest of the year.
Tonight's card has me perplexed, again. In order of contrarianess, the biggest leans would be SDSU, AFA, Depaul, tOSU. However, the SDSU line movement has been screwy all day. In addition, as shown above, the KP numbers are way off in the AFA and Depaul games. If this was football, and I didn't have KP numbers to lean on, my card would be a pretty simple AFA, Depaul, tOSU, but that obviously didn't work all that well this year, either. I think it's pretty obvious that I have myself completely mind-twisted and should stop thinking so much about this stuff.
7p Ohio State +1.5 +108 2x
8p Air Force +11.5 +104 2x
9p Depaul +11.5 +101 2x
1030p San Diego State +5 +108 2x
But, hey, at least I got positive juice on all of these losers.
Good luck tonight.
Obviously an Omen
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Labels:
whimsy
I am sitting here playing cards with the fiancee. What comes on the 80s channel other than "Far From Over" by, you guessed it, Frank Stallone. If I go less than 75% tomorrow I am going to be highly disappointed.
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