Review of Week 3

I really don't want to get into each individual game from this past week. I am incredibly frustrated. In college football, my record isn't terrible, but it's the little plays that are coming through and the big ones are failing miserably. Hopefully, my fortune turns around this week. It is some consolation that all of the smart gamblers I know are also starting off crappy, so it's not just me, it's just been a square season so far.

I mentioned on Saturday that I would explain why Toledo was a 5x play. I jumped on it because the line stayed at 6.5 for far too long. A lot of times when that happens, the public is jumping all over the favorite and sharps are playing the dog because they think it will be a lot closer than 7 points. I needed OT to get there, but fortunately Toledo ended up covering.

Sunday 9/21

Ugh. Last night blew and today promises to be a shitshow as well.

Kansas City +6 -102 2x
Houston +4.5 -102 2x
Minnesota -3 -116 4x

Late Games

Detroit +4.5 -102 2x
Pittsburgh +3.5 -105 2x
Baltimore -3 -120 2x
Cle/Bal O37 -108 1x

Good luck.

Leans - Week 3

The books are giving me the week off, I guess. I don't see nearly as many plays as the last two weeks. The important thing is to not force anything. Expect a big play or two, but total exposure to be much less.

Strong Leans

Louisville +3.5 vs. Kansas State (Wed.)
Arizona State +7 vs. Georgia
Toledo +7 vs. Fresno State
Arkansas +9.5 vs. Alabama

Kansas City +5 @ Atlanta
Green Bay +3 vs. Dallas

Moderate Leans

Colorado +3 vs. West Virginia (Thu.)
Auburn +3 vs. LSU
Troy +21 @ Ohio State
NC State +7.5 vs. ECU
Tennessee +6 vs. Florida

Houston +5 @ Tennessee
Pittsburgh +3 @ Philadelphia

Weak Leans

UCF +10.5 @ BC
Pitt -1.5 vs. Iowa
Texas A&M +4.5 vs. Miami (FL)
Central Michigan +10.5 @ Purdue
Florida Int +28 vs. USF
Wyoming +28 @ BYU

Detroit +4 @ San Fran