tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20098524.post4494315071263242994..comments2023-07-14T07:50:35.876-04:00Comments on You guessed it, Frank Stallone: Thursday 5/7 - PMUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20098524.post-30232921215331521162009-05-07T18:14:00.000-04:002009-05-07T18:14:00.000-04:00Because I am tired and not paying attention to det...Because I am tired and not paying attention to detail?am19psuhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18441351103470970374noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20098524.post-43965885829054457732009-05-07T18:09:00.000-04:002009-05-07T18:09:00.000-04:00I only ask because the Red Wings are -140 in the l...I only ask because the Red Wings are -140 in the late hockey game, and thus I was curious why you'd hypothetically choose Hill over them.MoneyLinehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08623599694285810557noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20098524.post-75193920851757689572009-05-07T18:03:00.000-04:002009-05-07T18:03:00.000-04:00I'm really not sure what to make of Hill's...I'm really not sure what to make of Hill's SLG. Abreu is slightly under his projection and he's old, so that makes sense. I don't think Hill is .567, obviously, but I also think his projections are probably low, since he's only 3 HRs short of his season projection (CHONE). Clearly, he has benefited from an absurd BABIP, but he also looks "better." Plus, Hill hits three spots higher in the lineup.<br /><br />All that said, I think E(Hill) > E(Abreu), but I wouldn't even know where to begin to put a standard deviation on them and have no idea if Hill is really better than 55% to win the prop.am19psuhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18441351103470970374noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20098524.post-70875590597229871002009-05-07T17:48:00.000-04:002009-05-07T17:48:00.000-04:00"I'd take Aaron Hill in the late prop. "
You thin..."I'd take Aaron Hill in the late prop. "<br /><br />You think he is better than -130?MoneyLinehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08623599694285810557noreply@blogger.com