tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20098524.post1476490913166928467..comments2023-07-14T07:50:35.876-04:00Comments on You guessed it, Frank Stallone: How Contrarian was the 2008 NFL Season?Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20098524.post-38322955439986084892009-01-10T19:26:00.000-05:002009-01-10T19:26:00.000-05:00I am not sold that such "discipline" is ...I am not sold that such "discipline" is actually profitable on a consistent basis anyways. But if it was, i think >~30x for one season to be enough enjoyment for me.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20098524.post-15622273911057712252009-01-09T22:28:00.000-05:002009-01-09T22:28:00.000-05:00Wouldn't just playing against the extreme consensu...<I>Wouldn't just playing against the extreme consensus yield 17-6-2? I'd take that in a heart beat considering the season as a whole?</I><BR/><BR/>Absolutely. Do you have the discipline to only play 25 games out of 17 weeks? I suppose I do if I really see numbers convince me of that (i.e. same pattern after next year), but doesn't that take some of the fun out of gambling?<BR/><BR/>I mean, assuming that you do this a little bit for enjoyment, rather than simply an investment strategy. Of course, if it is the latter, you should be in a low-risk mutual fund.am19psuhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18441351103470970374noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20098524.post-12070524058995816652009-01-09T20:57:00.000-05:002009-01-09T20:57:00.000-05:00"So what does this tell me? First, there is no eas..."So what does this tell me? First, there is no easy way to beat the system in the NFL."<BR/><BR/>Wouldn't just playing against the extreme consensus yield 17-6-2? I'd take that in a heart beat considering the season as a whole?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20098524.post-54463008833829635902009-01-08T22:02:00.000-05:002009-01-08T22:02:00.000-05:00Good work, as usual.Good work, as usual.Shamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10225872218534508728noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20098524.post-79542381333924529192009-01-08T21:56:00.000-05:002009-01-08T21:56:00.000-05:00I'm not sure I get your question, Billy. Overa...I'm not sure I get your question, Billy. Overall, if you bet on every road dog, you would have shown a profit (assuming -110 juice). If you had only bet on extremely anti-public home chalk (<40%) or extremely anti-public road dogs (<30%), you would have been ridiculously good.<BR/><BR/>Also, I'm rally disappointed that I couldn't fit a cheesy Easy Off Bam! pun into my explanation above.am19psuhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18441351103470970374noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20098524.post-79453791874634657392009-01-08T21:38:00.000-05:002009-01-08T21:38:00.000-05:00Isn't everything extreme for road dogs?Isn't everything extreme for road dogs?Billy Mayshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17007263772575593007noreply@blogger.com